📌 Stage 4 · Cash Timing · Cash Roll-Forward · minimum cash covenant · 40–50 min
The bank balance, month by month, against the lender's line
Learning goals
- Roll cash forward month by month from the opening balance
- Test every closing balance against the minimum cash covenant
- Read the cushion and status rows as early-warning lines
- Identify the tight months and explain the February bridge
Concepts
The roll-forward identity
The bank balance is a running total, exactly like receivables:
=C5+C6-C7Cash Roll-Forward C8 (January closing cash): $38,000.00 opening + $57,125.00 received − $54,741.00 paid = $40,384.00. February's opening (D5) links to this cell, so the twelve months chain together with no gaps.
💡 Tips:
- The FY column does not sum balances: O8 links to N8 (the December close) because a year-end balance is a point in time, not a flow. Summing balances is the classic cash-forecast bug.
The covenant test
The equipment loan requires the studio to keep at least $30,000.00 in the account while it is outstanding. Row 9 pulls that floor from Assumptions and row 11 flags each month:
=Assumptions!$C$7Cash Roll-Forward C9: the $30,000.00 minimum cash covenant, identical every month because the floor does not vary.
=IF(C8<C9,"BELOW MINIMUM","OK")Cash Roll-Forward C11: compares the month's closing cash to the floor. Under Base every month reads OK, and conditional formatting paints breaches red. Row 10 (cushion) quantifies the distance: $10,384.00 in January, $50,465.15 in December.
Reading the shape of the year
The Base plan never breaches, but it is not evenly comfortable: January closes at $40,384.00 — the tightest month, because the studio starts the year with two months of 2025 receivable tails and pays for the workstations. February nearly breaks even ($41,676.75) even with the $18,000.00 loan draw, because the same month spends $21,600.00 on the build-out. Cash builds through spring, dips again in August through October ($61,425.38 in September) when salaries and the camera purchase arrive, and ends December at $80,465.15.
The lesson for planning: the covenant question is not “do we breach?” but “how close is the worst month?” January is $10,384.00 from the line.
Why the covenant matters
A minimum-cash covenant is a lender's early-warning system: falling below it is a technical default that can freeze the credit line or accelerate repayment — regardless of profitability. The studio is planning profitable ($56,865.97 of FY net profit) and still has a January within $10,384.00 of its floor. That is the gap between the P&L view and the cash view, made concrete.
Practice
Fixed case: Harbor Creative Studio LLC, a four-person design studio in Austin, Texas, planning calendar year 2026. Cached numbers are the Base scenario. Pale-green cells are formulas; white cells are typed inputs. The exercise opens on the sheet this lesson teaches. Cell C8 (January closing cash) is blank: retype the roll-forward formula.
- Open Cash Roll-Forward — The exercise opens on Cash Roll-Forward. Row 5 opening cash, rows 6 and 7 cash in and out (linked from Cash Flow), row 8 closing cash, rows 9 to 11 the covenant block.
- Retype the closing formula in C8 — Cell C8 is empty. Type =C5+C6-C7 and confirm: it should return $40,384.00 for the January close.
- Walk the chain — D5 should read $40,384.00 (prior close), D8 $41,676.75. Continue across the year: the low point is January at $40,384.00 and the year ends at N8 = $80,465.15.
- Check the covenant block — Row 9 reads $30,000.00 every month. Row 10 (cushion) runs from $10,384.00 in January to $50,465.15 in December. Row 11 reads OK in all twelve months under Base.
- Run the identity check — Confirm O13 (net cash flow memo) sums to $42,465.15 and that N8 minus C5 equals the same figure: $80,465.15 − $38,000.00 = $42,465.15. The roll-forward ties to the cash flow statement.
Online exercise
The spreadsheet below is editable — follow the practice steps right on this page. Steps that need ribbon menus should be done in your own Excel with the downloadable practice file.
Checklist
Work through each item; when every box passes, this lesson is done:
- ☐ Retyped =C5+C6-C7 in C8 and it returned $40,384.00
- ☐ N8 December closing cash reads $80,465.15 and O5 confirms the $38,000.00 opening
- ☐ Row 11 reads OK in all twelve months; the cushion bottoms at $10,384.00 in January
- ☐ Net cash flow memo ties: O13 equals $42,465.15 = N8 − C5