📌 Stage 5 · Margin Analysis · Inventory & COGS · Pricing decisions · 30-40 min
Compare the SKUs sheet's plan against what September actually earned
Learning goals
- Contrast planned unit margin (latest costs) with realized margin (FIFO costs and fees)
- Complete the TOTAL row and read it as the month's gross P and L
- Choose a pricing response to material cost increases
Concepts
Two margin numbers, both true
The SKUs sheet says a Campfire Pine jar earns 86.8 percent at retail: retail price minus BOM cost at the latest prices. The Margins sheet says JG-01 on Etsy earned 85.5 percent of net revenue in September, after FIFO cost and Etsy fees.
The gap is not an error. Planned margin prices the next jar at tomorrow's costs; realized margin prices September's jars at the costs actually paid, net of the fees actually charged. When wax rises from $2.40 to $2.56, planned margin falls immediately while realized margin drifts down only as cheap layers drain. Watching both tells you when a price increase is truly due.
=SUM($I$5:$I$14)TOTAL gross profit for the matrix: the ten pair profits sum to $4,106.43.
=IF($G$15=0,0,$I$15/$G$15)TOTAL margin percent: $4,106.43 over $4,863.60 net revenue is 84.4 percent. Guarding the division keeps the row safe on an empty month.
What the numbers argue for
Jars poured on the cheap August layers (BATCH-501 at $3.53) are gone; everything now selling costs $3.69 to make and the next wax buy may cost more. Realized JG-01 margin has therefore not yet felt the full increase, but planned margin already has.
Three levers, in the order Juniper would pull them: raise the jar price by a dollar around the November reset (planned margin absorbs the wax increase and then some); steer gift-set traffic to Shopify, where fees take 4.7 instead of 12.8 points on the biggest baskets; and pour JG-05 trios ahead of demand, since the $52.62 unit margin makes them the best use of a pouring day.
💡 Tips:
- Price changes belong in the SKUs master, never inside order rows: future orders pick up the new price, history keeps the old one.
Practice
Fixed case (Sep 2026). The exercise opens on Margins. Pale-green cells are formulas.
- Type the total profit — Cell I15 is blank. Type =SUM($I$5:$I$14) and press Enter. The month's gross profit is $4,106.43.
- Read the whole TOTAL row — Confirm 17 orders, 161 units, $4,863.60 net, $757.17 FIFO COGS, $4,106.43 profit, 84.4 percent margin.
- Compare plan and actual for JG-01 — On SKUs, planned margin is 86.8 percent at $3.69 BOM cost. On Margins, realized JG-01 margin is 85.5 percent on Etsy and 86.5 percent on Shopify; the difference is fees plus the batch-cost mix.
- Watch a price change ripple — Temporarily set SKUs!E5 to 29. Every JG-01 gross, net, profit, and margin recomputes, on Sales and across the Margins matrix, because order rows price off master data. Note the side effect: even past orders reprice. Undo back to 28.
Online exercise
The spreadsheet below is editable — follow the practice steps right on this page. Steps that need ribbon menus should be done in your own Excel with the downloadable practice file.
Checklist
Work through each item; when every box passes, this lesson is done:
- ☐ Typed =SUM($I$5:$I$14) into Margins!I15 and got $4,106.43
- ☐ Confirmed the TOTAL margin of 84.4 percent on $4,863.60 net revenue
- ☐ Can explain why planned margin (86.8 percent) and realized margin (85.5 percent) differ
- ☐ Verified the baseline: $757.17 FIFO COGS, $4,106.43 gross profit for September 2026